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Backgammon: Winning Strategies

Robin Clay     1996     244pp
Transatlantic     ISBN:03303498133

"Backgammon: Winning Strategies" in my opinion is by far the strongest of the three (of Clay's books). It is pretty much current (frequently referencing Jellyfish 2.1 evaluations and rollouts and Scoyners database equities) and generally presents reasonable alternatives modern players might consider and gives a fair comparison of them. It touches many concepts without going into a great deal of depth about them which is probably reasonable for a book of this size (244 paperback pages) -- for instance it presents a match equity table derived from Janowski's formula and analyses how it should affect match play, without justifying the background of the table or formula itself. It makes a good effort to address the discrepencies between generally accepted expert and computer preferences ("...Jellyfish 2.1 prefers this move but many players dislike placing a chequer on the 1 point so early in the game...", "surprisingly Jellyfish thought that hitting was the best move, but when it rolled out the position 1,296 times it established that move D was superior.")

It goes into reasonable detail about many tactical situations (inspecting various possible back game positions and explaining why the 5 point is weak bearing in against a 1,3 back game; walking a prime backwards to pick up an extra chequer, etc.) My main criticism (not that I'm claiming that my opinion is in any way better than the book -- just as an example of how a text should be critically considered rather than accepted at face value) is that his treatment of cube handling is weak. Clay claims that cube decisions should be made on three criteria: race, position, and threat -- personally I think that's horribly overgeneralised: you can't base decisions on just 3 factors, and even if you could, they would be threat, threat, and threat. But never mind. I don't think he mentions volatility at all, oversimplifying to the point of being wrong: "the ideal lead at which to double is 70 per cent..." (admittedly he qualifies the assertion as dependent on the match score and the claim appears restricted to races, but even so presenting a number like that without justification ought to raise questions in the mind of the reader). The quiz section of the book (100 questions) is well done -- again I think it would be a shame if a reader was overly concerned about choosing the "right" answer in the quiz, but thinking about a position, selecting a move, and then reading the comments about the alternatives could be valuable if Clay mentions factors you hadn't considered, or seen in the same way. Overall I think most intermediate players could learn a lot from it, though advanced readers would be frustrated at the lack of detail in many areas.

Gary Wong, GaryW on FIBS


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